Geopolitics3h ago
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
+6 pts
46%→
52%
Why It Moved
The increase in the contract's probability appears likely driven by recent signals from President Trump suggesting the U.S. military campaign in Iran could end soon. Reports indicate that Trump expected U.S. military forces to leave Iran in "two or three weeks," which led to a rally in global markets (Source [3]).
SourceCNBC Daily Open: Markets rally as Trump signals Iran war could end soon - cnbc.com
cnbc.com
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