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Geopolitics13h ago

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

-5 pts
51%→
45%
$64K liquidity·Polymarket·Trade →

Why It Moved

The decrease in the probability appears likely driven by reports that Mojtaba Khamenei is incapacitated and unable to govern. Sources [1], [2], and [3] detail intelligence memos suggesting he is unconscious and unable to be involved in decision-making, which would likely trigger a succession crisis and reduce the likelihood of him remaining head of state through 2026.

Source

Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious and 'unable to be involved in any decision-making' - nypost.com

nypost.com

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Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? (-5 pts) | The Implied